TGM's two-stage DCF values Intuit Inc. (INTU) between $443.28 and $765.44 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $586.42. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth (capped at 18%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.9%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$318.93 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +3.4% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.9% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 9.9% | $443.28 |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 8.9% | $586.42 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 7.9% | $765.44 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Sep 8, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $552.48 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$318.93
Market-Implied Growth
+3.4%/yr
vs +22.5% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$443.28 – $765.44
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for INTU (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $5.4B · 0.27B shares · net debt $3.0B
Estimated Fair Value
$586.42
+83.9% vs $318.93
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $318.93; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | $732 | $799 | $880 | $983 | $1115 |
| 7.9% | $608 | $653 | $706 | $770 | $848 |
| 8.9% | $517 | $549 | $586 | $630 | $681 |
| 9.9% | $449 | $473 | $500 | $530 | $566 |
| 10.9% | $395 | $413 | $434 | $457 | $483 |
