The Walt Disney Company (DIS) DCF Valuation
Transparent DCF models put The Walt Disney Company (DIS)'s fair value in a range of $37.14 – $100.56 — the low end is TGM's conservative base case (5% FCF growth, 10% discount), the high end the analyst consensus (FMP). Today's price of $99.33 sits within that range — roughly fairly valued on these assumptions.
Reverse DCF: at today's $99.33, the market is pricing in roughly +14.9%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of +20.8%. The price assumes a slowdown from its track record — a potential value signal if growth holds.
Current Price
$99.33
Fair-Value Range
$37.14 – $100.56
Market-Implied Growth
+14.9%/yr
vs +20.8% 5Y actual
DIS DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $6.2B · 1.74B shares · net debt $36.3B
Estimated Fair Value
$37.14
-62.6% vs $99.33
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $99.33; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $51.24 | $54.94 | $59.31 | $64.56 | $70.97 |
| 9.0% | $41.06 | $43.59 | $46.50 | $49.91 | $53.93 |
| 10.0% | $33.30 | $35.10 | $37.14 | $39.47 | $42.16 |
| 11.0% | $27.21 | $28.53 | $30.00 | $31.66 | $33.54 |
| 12.0% | $22.30 | $23.29 | $24.38 | $25.60 | $26.96 |